Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Three Cyclones in Northwestern Pacific

> View larger image
NASA's Terra satellite flew over the Northwestern Pacific Ocean at 02:30 UTC on August 31 (10:30 p.m. EDT Aug. 30) and captured Tropical Storm Lionrock (lower left), Tropical Storm Namtheun (center), and Typhoon Kompasu (top right) off the Asian coast.
Credit: NASA/MODIS Rapid Response Team 

Tropical Storm Lionrock
Tropical Storm Namtheun
Typhoon Kompasu 

The Atlantic doesn't have an exclusive on tropical activity at this time.   NASA's Terra satellite captured this amazing image of three tropical cyclones at the same time in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean.

NASA's Terra Satellite Captures Three Tropical Cyclones in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean

Severe Tropical Storm LIONROCK
Graphic Courtesy Hong Kong Observatory

Forecast Intensities

02 Sep Severe Tropical Storm   105 km/h

03 Sep Tropical Storm                 75 km/h

04 Sep Tropical Depression        55 km/h

 

Bulletin updated at 11:45 HKT 01/Sep/2010 

At noon, Severe Tropical Storm Lionrock  was centred about 90 kilometres west of Gaoxiong. It is forecast to move north at about 10 kilometres per hour across the Taiwan Strait. Meanwhile, Typhoon Kompasu  was centred about 310 kilometres east of Shanghai. It is forecast to move north at about 30 kilometres per hour across the East China Sea. 

Latest weather bulletin issued by the Hong Kong Observatory: click here

Three tropical storms affecting southeast China

Source: China Meteorological News Press      (Click Here for Charts & Forecast)


Typhoon KOMPASU Forecast Track (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Live Cruise Ship and Ocean Liner Tracking: Interactive tracking map   See where ships are relative to tropical storms.

Typhoon Tracking - Useful Links
Typhoon 08W (Kompasu)
TC Warning Text     TC Warning Graphic

Tropical Storm 07W (Lionrock)  
 
Tropical Depression 09W (Namtheun)  Final Warning

Example: 301500Z = 11:00 AM EDT on the 30th


Tropical storms pose a threat to land and sea. Cruise ships closely monitor the progress of storms and take the necessary actions to remain safe. Safety of passengers and crew are the number one priority for each cruise line.

Tropical Storm Fiona Following Earl

5-Day Forecast Cone for Tropical Storm Fiona (Credit: NOAA NHC)

Fiona is 6th Named Storm in Atlantic
 
UPDATE:  800 PM AST THU SEP 02 2010

...FIONA MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
Tropical Storm Fiona was forming Saturday August 28th as Hurricane Danielle and Tropical Storm Earl were already heading westward across the Atlantic from their initial formation near Cape Verde, Africa.   One difference between Fiona and those other storms is the pace at which it is chasing after the other storms.
 

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF FIONA.

As a service to our readers, we have RSS feeds from the NHC which can provide up to date information about these tropical storms.   We will also monitor the cruise lines for any itinerary changes as a result of the storms.


Current Watches & Warnings
 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
Discussion  &  Outlook
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION (02Sep)

LOCATION...26.4N 66.7W
ABOUT 425 MI...680 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

 
ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE
CENTER OF FIONA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR BERMUDA LATE FRIDAY OR
EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 

  
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND


WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN BERMUDA BY LATE
FRIDAY.

RAINFALL...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA.
 
 Cruise Line Advisories


Updated 02 September 9 PM Eastern

Carnival Cruise Line
All departures for the sailings of September 1, 2010 – September 6, 2010 are scheduled to operate as normal. 

Norwegian Cruise Line
At this time, we expect all ships embarking this weekend to sail their scheduled itineraries. 

Royal Caribbean International: (latest changes in bold)
Enchantment of the Seas, Oasis of the Seas and Freedom of the Seas, Monarch of the Seas, Majesty of the Seas

Monday, August 30, 2010

Major Hurricane Earl Forces Cruise Itinerary Changes

5-Day Forecast Cone for Hurricane Earl (Credit: NOAA NHC)
Click for Current 5-Day Graphic

Weather Underground Current 5-Day Graphic (click)

Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here
 Major Hurricane Earl (Atlantic Basin)

Earl now a Category TWO Hurricane
 
UPDATE:  800 PM EDT THU SEP 02 2010

...HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES NORTHWARD...RAINBANDS MOVING ONTO THE
COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...

 
Cruise Itinerary Changes:   (details below)

Carnival Cruise Line
All departures for the sailings of September 1, 2010 – September 6, 2010 are scheduled to operate as normal. 

Norwegian Cruise Line
At this time, we expect all ships embarking this weekend to sail their scheduled itineraries. 

Royal Caribbean International: (latest changes in bold)
Enchantment of the Seas, Oasis of the Seas and Freedom of the Seas, Monarch of the Seas, Majesty of the Seas

In the five days since this storm became a Tropical Storm, Earl has continued its path westward and continued to grow in strength.  It became a Category One Hurricane Sunday night August 29th, and quickly grew to a Category Two later that night.   On Monday, Earl continued to strengthen to a Category Four Hurricane, weakened to a Category Three but strengthened again.  While it is now a Category Two hurricane, it is still a powerful storm and will remain so for the near future.

Based on the current forecast, Earl will be passing east of the Bahamas and then heading for the Northeast coast of the United States by this weekend.

INTERESTS IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
 
As a service to our readers, we have RSS feeds from the NHC which can provide up to date information about these tropical storms.   We will also monitor the cruise lines for any itinerary changes as a result of the storms. 


Current Watches & Warnings
 
 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS
* WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM MEDWAY HARBOUR TO DIGBY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EASTWARD
ON THE SOUTH SHORE AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF HULL MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET ON THE SOUTH
SHORE AND WEST OF PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR ON THE NORTH SHORE
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM TO MEDWAY HARBOUR AND FROM DIGBY TO
FORT LAWRENCE
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM JUST WEST OF FORT LAWRENCE WESTWARD TO THE
U.S./CANADA BORDER

 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
Discussion  &  Outlook
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION (02Sep)

LOCATION...33.0N 74.7W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 625 MI...1005 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...165 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 010 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES

 
ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL WILL PASS NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER
BANKS TONIGHT...AND APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  EARL IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A
LARGE AND STRONG HURRICANE AS IT PASSES NEAR THE OUTER BANKS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.  THE DIAMOND SHOALS BUOY...LOCATED ABOUT 20
MILES...30 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS...RECENTLY REPORTED A
WIND GUST TO 38 MPH...60 KM/HR. 

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE 
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

  
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND


WINDS...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA SOON.  EVEN IF THE CENTER OF
EARL REMAINS OFFSHORE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
IN THE OUTER BANKS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
WILL LIKELY REACH THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO
MASSACHUSETTS ON FRIDAY.  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN MASSACHUSETTS FRIDAY NIGHT.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA OVER NORTH CAROLINA AND THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY. STORM SURGE
WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER MASSACHUSETTS.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...STORM SURGE WILL
RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...THE OUTER BANKS AND SOUTHEAST
NEW ENGLAND. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM
EXTREME SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA NORTHWARD ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST...AS WELL AS OVER DOWNEAST MAINE.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE BAHAMAS
AND THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP
CURRENTS.
 
 Cruise Line Advisories


September 2, 2010
We are closely monitoring Hurricane Earl and Tropical Storm Fiona in the Atlantic.  Rest assured, all of our ships will continue to operate at a safe distance from the storms.
All departures for the sailings of September 1, 2010 – September 6, 2010 are scheduled to operate as normal. 
We will update this information on Carnival.com if any new information becomes available.  Most importantly, we look forward to welcoming our guests onboard this weekend.



August 29, 2010 – 12:30PM

We are closely monitoring the two tropical systems (Danielle and Earl) that have formed in the Atlantic.  Rest assured, all of our ships will continue to operate at a safe distance from the storms.

The Carnival Pride will change it's itinerary now visiting Port Canaveral, Nassau, and Freeport.  In addition, the Carnival Victory will change the sequence of ports and will cancel St. Maarten

All of Carnival’s other ships are operating the scheduled itineraries.

We will update this information on Carnival.com if any new information becomes available.  Most importantly, we look forward to welcoming our guests onboard this weekend.



Royal Caribbean Tropical Weather Update

September 01, 2010 5 PM E.S.T

Due to the forecasted path of Hurricane Earl, Royal Caribbean International is altering the current itineraries for Monarch of the Seas, Majesty of the Seas, Enchantment of the Seas, Oasis of the Seas and Freedom of the Seas.

Due to the forecasted path of Hurricane Earl, Royal Caribbean International has altered the current itineraries for Monarch of the Seas, Majesty of the Seas, Enchantment of the Seas, Oasis of the Seas and Freedom of the Seas.

Monarch of the Seas was unable to call on CocoCay, Bahamas Tuesday, August 31. The ship sailed directly to Nassau, Bahamas, where it will stay until midnight Wednesday, September 1. The ship will spend Thursday at sea as it returns to Port Canaveral on Friday, as scheduled. Monarch of the Seas is currently sailing a four-night itinerary, which departed Port Canaveral on August 30.

Majesty of the Seas extended its port call in Key West, Florida on Tuesday, August 31 until early Wednesday morning. It will spend the remainder of Wednesday at sea, and call into Nassau on Thursday, September 2. The ship will return to the Port of Miami on Friday, as scheduled. Majesty of the Seas is currently sailing a four-night itinerary, which departed the Port of Miami on August 30.

Enchantment of the Seas called on San Juan, Puerto Rico Sunday, as scheduled, but cancelled its call at St. Thomas on Monday in order to avoid inclement weather from the storm. Instead, the ship called on Samana, Dominican Republic on Monday, August 30 and Labadee, Haiti, on Tuesday, August 31. The ship will spend Wednesday, Thursday and Friday at sea as it returns to Baltimore on Saturday, as scheduled. Enchantment of the Seas is currently sailing a nine-night Caribbean itinerary, which departed Baltimore on August 26.

Oasis of the Seas was unable to make its scheduled port calls to Charlotte Amalie, St. Thomas on Tuesday, August 31 and Phillipsburg, St. Maarten on Wednesday, September 1. The most recent forecast simply placed the storm too close to these ports of call during the time Oasis of the Seas would be sailing there. The ship will now call at Costa Maya and Cozumel, Mexico, on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. Oasis of the Seas is sailing a seven-night Caribbean itinerary, which departed Ft. Lauderdale on August 28.

Freedom of the Seas will be unable to make its scheduled port calls to Charlotte Amalie, St. Thomas on Wednesday, September 1 and Phillipsburg, St. Maarten on Thursday, September 2. The most recent forecast simply placed the storm too close to these ports of call during the time Freedom of the Seas would be sailing there. The ship called on CocoCay, Bahamas on Monday, as scheduled, spent Tuesday at sea, and called into George Town, Grand Cayman on Wednesday. On Thursday, the ship will visit Cozumel, Mexico. The ship will spend Friday and Saturday at sea as it returns to Port Canaveral, Florida on Sunday, as scheduled. Freedom of the Seas is currently sailing a seven-night Caribbean itinerary, which departed Port Canaveral on August 29.

No other Royal Caribbean International ship's itinerary is currently being affected by Hurricane Earl. Royal Caribbean will continue to closely monitor weather conditions and will update this information if there are any additional itinerary alterations due to the storm's projected path.
Norwegian Cruise Line Weather Alert 

Updated September 2, 11:30 am

At Norwegian Cruise Line, the safety and security of our guests and crew is of the utmost importance. Therefore, the company is closely monitoring the path of Hurricane Earl and Tropical Storm Fiona.

At this time, we expect all ships embarking this weekend to sail their scheduled itineraries.

We will continue to closely monitor the weather conditions and will update this information and notify our guests if there are any itinerary changes because of the storms’ projected paths.

Updated August 31, 2010 at 3 pm

At Norwegian Cruise Line, the safety and security of our guests and crew is of the utmost importance. Therefore, the company is closely monitoring the path of Hurricane Earl and Tropical Storm Fiona.

Because of Hurricane Earl’s path which took it west of Bermuda, Norwegian Dawn is sailing its original itinerary. The ship is currently en route to Bermuda and will arrive on Wednesday morning as scheduled.

Because of the adverse weather, Norwegian Jewel did not stop at Great Stirrup Cay today and instead docked in Nassau a day early. The ship will stay in Nassau overnight. Depending on the path of Hurricane Earl, there is a possibility that the ship will need to leave Nassau early tomorrow morning.

We will continue to closely monitor the weather conditions and will update this information and notify our guests if there are any additional itinerary changes because of the storms’ projected paths.
We appreciate our guests understanding.

Updated August 29 at 9 am ET

At Norwegian Cruise Line, the safety and security of our guests and crew is of the utmost importance. Therefore, the company is closely monitoring the paths of both Hurricane Danielle and Tropical Storm Earl.

Because of the storms, we are modifying the following itineraries:

Norwegian Dawn will depart New York as scheduled today. We are continuing to monitor the storm and there is a possibility of an itinerary change depending on the storm’s path.

Norwegian Epic departed Miami yesterday as scheduled. The ship will call into Cozumel, Mexico and Roatan, Honduras in place of Phillipsburg, St. Maarten and St. Thomas, US Virgin Islands. The ship’s call into Nassau on Friday has been extended.

Norwegian Spirit arrived in Bermuda this morning as originally scheduled.

Saturday, August 28, 2010

Atlantic Hurricane Season Getting Interesting

NOAA Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here
Late August through the end of October is the peak of the Atlantic Hurricane season.  The last several days have been very active.  NHC issuing advisories on Hurricane DANIELLE and Hurricane EARL

The satellite image above shows two tropical cyclones which we are watching and one potential storm.
Please see the following blog posts for complete details on these storms. 
Major Hurricane Danielle Near Bermuda
Tropical Storm Earl Expected to Become Hurricane

The cruise lines are monitoring these storms and have issued statements.  The only cruise line that has made changes is Norwegian Cruise Line.   See the above links for details.


800 PM EDT SAT AUG 28 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...AND
ON TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 570 MILES EAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL
WAVE...IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE RECENTLY INCREASED NEAR THE
CENTER...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.  THERE
IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH.

What is a hurricane?
A low pressure over warm water causes tropical depressions which, if conditions are correct, will form into a hurricane.   Many of the hurricanes at this time of year form off the coast of Cape Verde, Africa.   That is where these storms have formed.

There is another tropical storm behind label "1" in the graphic above.  If you are cruising in the Atlantic in the near future, you'll want to keep watch on all of these storms.  We will continue to monitor the storms as they develop and provide updates here.

UPDATE: 
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 29 2010
ALTHOUGH THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED MIDWAY BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE LESSER
ANTILLES HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED TODAY...RECENT SATELLITE DATA
INDICATE THAT IT DOES NOT YET APPEAR TO HAVE A WELL-DEFINED
CENTER...AND THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS
BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  HOWEVER...ONLY A
SMALL INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION...AND THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS
IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH.

Looking Back Five Years - Hurricane Katrina

Hurricane Katrina - Courtesy: NASA
Five years later, NASA is revisiting Hurricane Katrina with a short video that shows the storm as captured by NASA satellites. NASA provides space-based satellite observations, field research missions, and computer climate modeling to further scientists' understanding of these storms. NASA also provides measurements and modeling of global sea surface temperatures, precipitation, winds and ocean heat content -- all ingredients that contribute to the formation of tropical cyclones (the general name for typhoons, tropical storms and hurricanes).




If you are regular readers of this blog, you know that we devote many column inches to tropical cyclones including hurricanes each season.  Many articles discuss approaching dangers and provide details about impacts to land and ships, including itinerary changes.   The most important articles are perhaps the ones on hurricane preparedness.    When a hurricane sets it sights on you, the loss of property is unavoidable, but it is possible that lives could be spared given sufficient warnings.

That is why NASA, NOAA, NWS, and other government agencies spend as much time and energy monitoring tropical cyclones as they do.    And, we will continue to provide updates here in this blog.

Fifth Anniversary of Hurricane Katrina

It is fitting that we devote some time looking back at what has unfortunately become one of the deadliest and costliest hurricanes of all time.  Katrina claimed more than 1,800 lives and caused over  $81 billion in damages.  Those numbers don't represent the real impact of Katrina.  While some lives were spared, their homes and neighborhoods were destroyed and people perished.   An emptiness replaced thriving communities.

Five years later, there are empty lots where homes once stood.    Livelihoods were lost forever in some cases.  Many homes and businesses were unable to rebuild, even with federal assistance.   The costs were just too high due to many factors including rising insurance and construction prices.

Katrina on the Web




NOAA: Five Years Post-Katrina, It’s Smoother Sailing in Gulf’s Busy Ports

The following sites have a wealth of information from 2005 and today about Hurricane Katrina and its aftermath on Louisiana and Mississippi.  There has been volumes of data recorded on this deadly hurricane with these sites being among the best on the web as of this writing.

Hurricane Katrina - Then and Now
Hurricane Katrina Photos, Images and Information Anniversary Puts New Focus on New Orleans
Think Progress » KATRINA TIMELINE 5 Years On, Katrina Dampens Coverage
Hurricane Katrina - Special Reports from CNN.com Hurricane Katrina - ABC News
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia  Hurricane Katrina fifth anniversary radio and TV coverage
NASA - Hurricane Season 2005: Katrina Storm Stories: A Hurricane Katrina Anniversary Special
NCDC: Hurricane Katrina Hurricane Katrina Anniversary Events
Hurricane Katrina, 2005 - for Students Bush-Clinton Katrina Fund Official Web Site

NOAA: The Deadliest, Costliest, and Most Intense United States Tropical Cyclones From 1851 to 2006 MS-Word and Adobe Acrobat PDF file formats

Tropical Storm Earl Expected to Become Hurricane

5-Day Forecast Cone for Tropical Storm Earl (Credit: NOAA NHC)
Click for Current 5-Day Graphic

Weather Underground Current 5-Day Graphic (click)

Coverage of Hurricane Continues with:  
(please click the following Blog Post link)

Major Hurricane Earl Forces Cruise Itinerary Changes


Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here
 Tropical Storm Earl in North Atlantic

UPDATE:  UPDATE:  1100 AM AST TUE AUG 31 2010

...POWERFUL HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES WITH 135 MPH WINDS... 
 
Earl now a Category FOUR Hurricane
For Latest Updates ... Please click here
 
Norwegian Cruise Line modifies Norwegian Epic
 & other itineraries (see below)  
 
Carnival Cruise Line modifies Carnival Pride
 & Carnival Victory itineraries (see below)
 
Royal Caribbean Cruise Line modifies Oasis of the Seas, 
Enchantment of the Seas, Freedom of the Seas,
Monarch of the Seas, and Majesty of the Seas 
itineraries (see below) 

Tropical Depression 7 became Tropical Storm Earl around 5 p.m. EDT on August 25.  Since that time it has continued its path westward through the warm Atlantic Ocean.   It is trailing Hurricane Danielle which we are also tracking.

Earl increased in strength over the weekend and became a hurricane, possibly a major hurricane.  Based on the current forecast, the Eastern Caribbean as well as the Bahamas could be impacted by Earl.  The current prediction is that Earl could become a Category Three hurricane today and a Category Four within the next 48 hours.

NHC issuing advisories on Hurricane DANIELLE, TS EARL and TS FRANK

As a service to our readers, we have RSS feeds from the NHC which can provide up to date information about these tropical storms.   We will also monitor the cruise lines for any itinerary changes as a result of the storms.


Current Watches & Warnings

NOTE:  This is no longer being updated ... please see latest post 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

Discussion & Outlook
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION (30Aug)

LOCATION...18.4N 62.9W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE OF ST. MARTIN
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM E OF ST. THOMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES



HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND


WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE NOW SPREADING ACROSS THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND WILL SPREAD WESTWARD INTO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER
PUERTO RICO TODAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO
4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL PRIMARILY NEAR THE COAST IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE WIND WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...AND 1 TO 3 FEET IN
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.  THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.

RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...
ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
 Cruise Line Advisories


August 29, 2010 – 12:30PM

We are closely monitoring the two tropical systems (Danielle and Earl) that have formed in the Atlantic.  Rest assured, all of our ships will continue to operate at a safe distance from the storms.

The Carnival Pride will change it's itinerary now visiting Port Canaveral, Nassau, and Freeport.  In addition, the Carnival Victory will change the sequence of ports and will cancel St. Maarten

All of Carnival’s other ships are operating the scheduled itineraries.

We will update this information on Carnival.com if any new information becomes available.  Most importantly, we look forward to welcoming our guests onboard this weekend.



Royal Caribbean Tropical Weather Update

August 30, 2010 10:00 a.m. E.S.T

Due to the forecasted path of Hurricane Earl, Royal Caribbean International is altering the current itineraries for Enchantment of the Seas, Oasis of the Seas and Freedom of the Seas.

Enchantment of the Seas called on San Juan, Puerto Rico Sunday, as scheduled, but will cancel its call at St. Thomas on Monday in order to avoid inclement weather from the storm. Instead, the ship will call at Samana, Dominican Republic on Monday, August 30 and Labadee, Haiti, on Tuesday, August 31. The ship will spend Wednesday, Thursday and Friday at sea as it returns to Baltimore on Saturday, as scheduled. Enchantment of the Seas is currently sailing a nine-night Caribbean itinerary, which departed Baltimore on August 26.

Oasis of the Seas will be unable to make its scheduled port calls to Charlotte Amalie, St. Thomas on Tuesday, August 31 and Phillipsburg, St. Maarten on Wednesday, September 1. The most recent forecast simply places the storm too close to these ports of call during the time Oasis of the Seas would be sailing there. The ship will now call at Costa Maya and Cozumel, Mexico, on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. Oasis of the Seas is sailing a seven-night Caribbean itinerary, which departed Ft. Lauderdale on August 28.

Freedom of the Seas will be unable to make its scheduled port calls to Charlotte Amalie, St. Thomas on Wednesday, September 1 and Phillipsburg, St. Maarten on Thursday, September 2. The most recent forecast simply places the storm too close to these ports of call during the time Freedom of the Seas would be sailing there. The ship will call CocoCay, Bahamas on Monday, as scheduled, spend Tuesday at sea, and call into George Town, Grand Cayman on Wednesday. On Thursday, the ship will visit Cozumel, Mexico. The ship will spend Friday and Saturday at sea as it returns to Port Canaveral, Florida on Sunday, as scheduled. Freedom of the Seas is currently sailing a seven-night Caribbean itinerary, which departed Port Canaveral on August 29.

No other Royal Caribbean International ship's itinerary is currently being affected by Hurricane Earl. Royal Caribbean will continue to closely monitor weather conditions and will update this information if there are any additional itinerary alterations due to the storm's projected path.



Norwegian Cruise Line Weather Alert 

Updated August 29 at 9 am ET

At Norwegian Cruise Line, the safety and security of our guests and crew is of the utmost importance. Therefore, the company is closely monitoring the paths of both Hurricane Danielle and Tropical Storm Earl.

Because of the storms, we are modifying the following itineraries:

Norwegian Dawn will depart New York as scheduled today. We are continuing to monitor the storm and there is a possibility of an itinerary change depending on the storm’s path.

Norwegian Epic departed Miami yesterday as scheduled. The ship will call into Cozumel, Mexico and Roatan, Honduras in place of Phillipsburg, St. Maarten and St. Thomas, US Virgin Islands. The ship’s call into Nassau on Friday has been extended.

Norwegian Spirit arrived in Bermuda this morning as originally scheduled.

Guests on board the vessels will be kept up to date by the ship’s Captain. It is also important to note that we will continue to closely monitor the storm and if the path changes, we may need to modify these itineraries.
We appreciate our guests understanding. As soon as there is further information, we will update NCL.com and notify our guests.


Updated August 28 at 9 am ET
At Norwegian Cruise Line, the safety and security of our guests and crew is of the utmost importance. Therefore, the company is closely monitoring the paths of both Hurricane Danielle and Tropical Storm Earl.

Because of the storms, we are modifying the following itineraries:
Norwegian Spirit’s arrival time into Bermuda, currently scheduled for 11 am on Sunday, August 29, will be dependent on the speed and the path of the storm, and will most likely be delayed until Monday morning, August 30.

Norwegian Epic will depart Miami today as scheduled. The ship will call into Cozumel, Mexico and Roatan, Honduras in place of Phillipsburg, St. Maarten and St. Thomas, US Virgin Islands. The ship’s call into Nassau on Friday has been extended.   

Norwegian Dawn will depart New York as scheduled on Sunday, August 29. We are continuing to monitor the storm and there is a possibility of an itinerary change depending on the storm’s path.

Guests on board the vessels will be kept up to date by the ship’s Captain. It is also important to note that we will continue to closely monitor the storm and if the path changes, we may need to modify these itineraries.

We appreciate our guests understanding. As soon as there is further information, we will update NCL.com and notify our guests.


Tropical Storm Resources (click links below)
Tropical Storm EARL
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook National Weather Service
Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion Hurricane Preparedness
Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook (ATL) Real-Time Hurricane Information
Active Storms  NOAA Satellites & Information
NASA: Latest Storm Images WMO Severe Weather Information Centre
Real-time Monitoring (Atlantic) The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
Real-time Weather Sites Real-Time Cruise Ship Tracking

Friday, August 27, 2010

Major Hurricane Danielle Near Bermuda

5-Day Forecast Cone for Hurricane Danielle (Credit: NOAA NHC)
Click for Current 5-Day Graphic
 
UPDATE: 500 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...DANIELLE WEAKENING AND QUICKLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN...  
 
 
500 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010

...DANIELLE WEAKENING A LITTLE...EXPECTED TO PASS WELL EAST
OF BERMUDA LATER TONIGHT...
 
DANIELLE MAINTAINING CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE STRENGTH
Expected to Weaken Monday, August 30th

Norwegian Cruise Line modifies itineraries (see below) 
 
Carnival Cruise Line modifies Carnival Pride 
& Carnival Victory itineraries (see below)

 

Tropical Depression 6 formed in the Central Atlantic about a week ago and at that time was 600 miles west-southwest of Cape Verde Islands.  A couple days later it was a named Tropical Storm and then a Category One hurricane.    It has continued to strengthen and as a Category Four hurricane, it is approaching Bermuda's coastline.  This is a very powerful storm at the present time.   It appears that the storm might move away from Bermuda and weaken.

NHC issuing advisories on Hurricane DANIELLE, TS EARL and TS FRANK

As a service to our readers, we have RSS feeds from the NHC which can provide up to date information about these tropical storms.   We will also monitor the cruise lines for any itinerary changes as a result of the storms.


Current Watches & Warnings
 
Update 28Aug... AT 5 PM AST...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA.
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

Discussion & Outlook
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION (30Aug)

LOCATION...40.4N 52.0W
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM S OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DANIELLE IS STILL A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE...BUT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  DANIELLE IS EXPECTED TO LOSE
ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY...AND BECOME A LARGE AND
POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH
ATLANTIC.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND


SURF...LARGE WAVES AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT BERMUDA
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  SWELLS FROM DANIELLE WILL BEGIN TO ARRIVE
ON THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES LATER TODAY.  THESE SWELLS
ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
 Cruise Line Advisories


August 29, 2010 – 12:30PM

We are closely monitoring the two tropical systems (Danielle and Earl) that have formed in the Atlantic.  Rest assured, all of our ships will continue to operate at a safe distance from the storms.

The Carnival Pride will change it's itinerary now visiting Port Canaveral, Nassau, and Freeport.  In addition, the Carnival Victory will change the sequence of ports and will cancel St. Maarten

All of Carnival’s other ships are operating the scheduled itineraries.

We will update this information on Carnival.com if any new information becomes available.  Most importantly, we look forward to welcoming our guests onboard this weekend.





August 27, 2010 – 6PM

We are closely monitoring the two tropical systems (Danielle and Earl) that have formed in the Atlantic.  All of our ships are now operating a safe distance from the storms and performing the scheduled itineraries.  In addition, we are not anticipating any significant itinerary changes for our cruises departing from any of our Florida or East Coast home ports this weekend.


Royal Caribbean Tropical Weather Update

Due to Earl:  Oasis of the Seas and Enchantment of the Seas are sailing modified itineraries at the present time
 (See our Hurricane Earl post for details)

August 23, 2010 4:00 p.m. E.S.T

At this time, Royal Caribbean International is closely monitoring the path and progress of Tropical Storm Danielle to ensure guests enjoy safe and comfortable cruises, and to make certain our ships steer clear of the storm. The safety of our guests and crew is always the foremost concern of Royal Caribbean International.

Given Tropical Storm Danielle's current location and projected path, Royal Caribbean has not altered the itineraries of any ships. Royal Caribbean will continue to closely monitor weather conditions and will update this information if there are any changes to the storms' projected path.

Norwegian Cruise Line Weather Alert 


Updated August 28 at 9 am ET
At Norwegian Cruise Line, the safety and security of our guests and crew is of the utmost importance. Therefore, the company is closely monitoring the paths of both Hurricane Danielle and Tropical Storm Earl.

Because of the storms, we are modifying the following itineraries:
Norwegian Spirit’s arrival time into Bermuda, currently scheduled for 11 am on Sunday, August 29, will be dependent on the speed and the path of the storm, and will most likely be delayed until Monday morning, August 30.

Norwegian Epic will depart Miami today as scheduled. The ship will call into Cozumel, Mexico and Roatan, Honduras in place of Phillipsburg, St. Maarten and St. Thomas, US Virgin Islands. The ship’s call into Nassau on Friday has been extended.

Norwegian Dawn will depart New York as scheduled on Sunday, August 29. We are continuing to monitor the storm and there is a possibility of an itinerary change depending on the storm’s path.

Guests on board the vessels will be kept up to date by the ship’s Captain. It is also important to note that we will continue to closely monitor the storm and if the path changes, we may need to modify these itineraries.
We appreciate our guests understanding. As soon as there is further information, we will update NCL.com and notify our guests.


Tropical Storm Resources (click links below)
Hurricane DANIELLE
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook National Weather Service
Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion Hurricane Preparedness
Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook (ATL) Real-Time Hurricane Information
Active Storms  NOAA Satellites & Information
NASA: Latest Storm Images WMO Severe Weather Information Centre
Real-time Monitoring (Atlantic) The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
Real-time Weather Sites Real-Time Cruise Ship Tracking

Sunday, August 22, 2010

Tropical Storm Frank Forms in East Pacific

5-Day Forecast Cone for Tropical Storm Frank (Credit: NOAA NHC)
Tropical Storm Frank

Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here
800 PM PDT SUN AUG 22 2010

...FRANK HAS NOT STRENGTHENED...TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND WARNING
EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO...
Tropical Depression Nine-E has formed into the sixth named Tropical Storm in the East Pacific.    The storm is currently 140 miles southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico and moving west at 7 mph.   Additional strengthening is predicted within the next 48 hours with a high probability of it becoming a hurricane by Tuesday.   The Mexican government has issued watches and warnings.

NHC issuing advisories on TD SIX and TS FRANK


Current Watches & Warnings

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO WESTWARD TO TECPAN DE GALEANA.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO LAZARO
CARDENAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL WESTWARD TO TECPAN DE
GALEANA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO LAZARO
CARDENAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
Discussion & Outlook


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION (22 Aug)
LOCATION...14.0N 96.8W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM S OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AND FRANK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY LATE MONDAY.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND


WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT OR MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY EARLY TUESDAY.

RAINFALL...FRANK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL REGION OF MEXICO...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.




Cruise Line Advisories
NONE


There are no cruise ships in the immediate vicinity of Frank at this time.  We will continue to monitor the storm and provide updates as appropriate.   See RSS feeds in left margin for up to date information from the NHC.



Tropical Storm Resources (click links below)
Tropical Storm FRANK
East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook National Weather Service
East Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion Hurricane Preparedness
Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook (EPAC) Real-Time Hurricane Information
Active Storms  NOAA Satellites & Information
NASA: Latest Storm Images WMO Severe Weather Information Centre
Real-time Monitoring (E. Pacific) The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
Real-time Weather Sites Real-Time Cruise Ship Tracking